Trump spins trade wheel in friendlier direction 13 Apr 2018 The U.S. president is thinking of rejoining the TPP – an 11-member group set up in part as a bulwark against Trump's trading bugbear, China. Sharing should make that easier, while also appeasing American farmers. The question is whether Trump can compromise for long – or at all.
Review: America’s founding was all about the money 13 Apr 2018 “New World, Inc.” explores the role of British merchant adventurers in laying the groundwork for the colonial settlements in Virginia and Plymouth. The book is a prequel of sorts to the Pilgrim creation myth that suggests Mammon, not religious freedom, drove America's creation.
Qatar/Exxon love-in makes two types of sense 12 Apr 2018 Deepening its relationship with the Texas-based oil major would tie the Arab state more closely to the U.S. after recent tensions with Saudi Arabia. It also gets Exxon investing in infrastructure. That could open up the global market, to the benefit of both parties.
Brazil’s anti-graft drive may hamper fiscal reform 12 Apr 2018 The jailing of the country's most popular politician, Lula, and voter disgust at corruption among the powerful will give outsiders with clean reputations a chance to shine in October elections. That's welcome, but could mean needed spending cutbacks are less likely to happen.
Opacity makes U.S. sanctions on Russia more potent 11 Apr 2018 Rusal aluminium will be barred from London’s Metal Exchange, and the Russian group and parent En+ will be deleted from some stock indices. In theory, non-Americans should be able to deal with both. But fear of how rules will be enforced is compounding the pain of tough sanctions.
Hadas: Even Trump can’t make graft great again 11 Apr 2018 Resistance to corruption is evident in cases against ex-leaders of South Korea, Brazil and South Africa. Old royal privileges make no sense in modern economies. U.S. officials and the corporate elite have strayed, but rising middle classes will keep straightening out the crooked.
HSBC donates top banker to China’s soft power push 11 Apr 2018 The bank created a new role sure to please Beijing: Head of Belt and Road Initiative. The job will be to coordinate efforts serving the $1 trln overseas infrastructure plan. The nomenclature will burnish HSBC's cred in China. And it may catch on with the rest of Wall Street.
Viewsroom: The biggest loser, China or the U.S.? 10 Apr 2018 A volley of words threatens a trade war between PRC leader Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump. Developing China has much at risk in fighting with the world’s largest economy. But American businesses are vulnerable too. Plus: Meituan goes all-in with local services.
Trump trade war risks European carmaker backfire 10 Apr 2018 BMW and Daimler sell a surprising number of American-made vehicles in China. Were the U.S. president’s tariff-war rhetoric to become reality, carmakers could shrink stateside production. If Trump wants to keep rather than lose jobs, he should seize Beijing’s latest olive branch.
Trillion-dollar U.S. deficits are funding headwind 10 Apr 2018 Recent tax cuts will push the annual federal budget shortfall into 13 figures and debt to nearly 100 pct of GDP by 2028, Congress’s number-crunchers reckon. The forecast, on the eve of a big auction of Treasury securities, gives investors one more reason to demand higher yields.
Glencore’s Rusal cloud has a silver lining 9 Apr 2018 The commodity trader is nursing a hit to its 9 percent stake in the Russian miner, whose shares have halved due to U.S. sanctions. But the loss is bearable and disruption to the aluminium market and growing protectionism may end up helping CEO Ivan Glasenberg’s trading business.
Rail strikes will test French appetite for Europe 9 Apr 2018 President Emmanuel Macron’s plans to overhaul the state-run train company have sparked mass walkouts. He’s not the only one with much to lose. If voters turn against rail reforms, they may also blame EU laws that are forcing the pace of change and grow more critical of Brussels.
Russian stocks deliver sanctions face-palm moment 6 Apr 2018 The U.S. sanctioned Rusal and EN+, as well as related oligarchs like Oleg Deripaska. The danger that groups close to the Kremlin might get burned was pretty clear in EN+’s recent IPO prospectus. Governance and politics are as critical to such companies’ value as their operations.
U.S. companies in China prepare to be squeezed 6 Apr 2018 President Trump is aiming new tariffs at $100 bln of Chinese exports after Beijing threatened duties against U.S. products. American firms have invested over $250 bln into China in the past 25 years. Their assets are now exposed to regulatory harassment and shifting trade flows.
China brings a gun to its U.S. trade gunfight 4 Apr 2018 Beijing proposed duties on $50 bln of American exports hours after the U.S. said it would tax the same value of Chinese exports. Doing so may hit China’s economy, but that’s the point. The readiness to go toe-to-toe implies Trump’s trade war will be neither good nor easy to win.
Cox: Sinclair is more totalitarian than democratic 4 Apr 2018 Donald Trump's favorite $3 bln broadcaster is downright deplorable, at least when it comes to corporate governance. The board is stocked with ancient cronies – with no women in sight. Fold in the controversy over its Orwellian editorial policies and the stock is best avoided.
U.S. levies on China showcase the widget economy 4 Apr 2018 Washington wants to apply 25 pct duties to 1,300 Chinese imports. Politicians love high-tech industries, but this list is dominated by mundane products like dental tools and floor polishers. It’s a reminder of the crucial role everyday items play in economic growth.
Berlusconi scores point off Bolloré in mogul feud 3 Apr 2018 Shares in the former prime minister’s Mediaset TV group jumped after it agreed to collaborate with Sky’s Italian unit. An investor in Mediaset, Vincent Bolloré’s Vivendi will gain from the deal. But, as Berlusconi and Sky grow closer, Bolloré’s own ambitions risk being sidelined.
China’s soybean trade card is difficult to play 3 Apr 2018 New tariffs target $3 billion worth of U.S. imports. But they don’t touch a big American pressure point: soybeans. This first round is a warning shot, to be sure. But retaliating against this commodity would hurt Chinese farmers and consumers, so Beijing might save it for last.
Qualcomm’s director election offers double rebuke 30 Mar 2018 Support for incumbents averaged under half the U.S. chipmaker’s outstanding shares. That’s a warning after the board resisted Broadcom’s $117 bln hostile bid, nixed by Donald Trump. Meanwhile, the convoluted process and an error voting Vanguard’s shares shame an archaic system.