Jeremy Corbyn pay row shows costs of bank excess 1 Dec 2017 The UK opposition leader attacked “speculators” and criticised banker pay, as UBS chief Sergio Ermotti defended it. A decade after the crisis, remuneration still fuels dissent. Shareholders' failure to rein it in has led to dismal returns. Volatile politics could be more damaging.
Europe’s bad-loan struggle risks backfiring 1 Dec 2017 Italy is leading the resistance to a European Central Bank plan to shrink banks’ bad debts. A victory will be empty, though. Ignoring defaulted loans hurts new lending. Failing to clean up legacy balance-sheet risks could also kill off the euro zone’s bank deposit scheme.
UK plays weak hand badly in Brexit poker 29 Nov 2017 The country has reportedly bowed to EU demands that it pay up to 100 bln euros when it leaves the bloc. Months of haggling have wasted time and goodwill even before the start of talks on trading arrangements. The outcome shows the UK has a lot less leverage than it pretends.
UK’s post-Brexit industrial plan lacks ambition 27 Nov 2017 The government has promised to boost research spending, improve education and upgrade infrastructure. Leaving the EU makes this more important, but less affordable. Even if Britain was not breaking from its largest partner, however, the goals would be strangely short of oomph.
Review: Macron is a riddle wrapped in transparency 24 Nov 2017 A trio of books help explain how a political neophyte became the French president. One is a decent account of the election campaign, another delves deeper into his youth and family life. But even Emmanuel Macron’s own tome is short of detail on how he formulated his beliefs.
Hammond struggles in Brexit straitjacket 22 Nov 2017 The UK budget contained giveaways to homebuyers and the health service, funded by asset sales and accounting fiddles. But bleak growth forecasts limited Chancellor Philip Hammond’s generosity. Weak productivity growth will add to the economic pain of leaving the European Union.
Dutch Brexit red carpet hastens tax race to bottom 22 Nov 2017 The country’s new government plans to slash corporate taxes and cancel a levy on dividends paid overseas. One reason is to lure multinationals unsettled by Britain’s departure from the European Union. It’s an expensive gamble that makes it likelier other nations will follow suit.
Berlusconi’s court fight has become a sideshow 22 Nov 2017 The Italian ex-premier, excluded from office in 2013 after sex parties and the euro zone crisis, is challenging the ban in Europe’s human rights court. A verdict before a spring election is unlikely, but for better or worse Berlusconi doesn’t need one to be a political kingmaker.
Merkel’s weakness could give Europe strength 20 Nov 2017 The collapse of coalition talks will force German Chancellor Angela Merkel to weigh other options. Another grand coalition or a minority government would be preferable to new elections. Revamping the euro zone will be easier without the Free Democrats opposing fiscal integration.
Northern Ireland is Brexit’s Gordian knot 17 Nov 2017 Avoiding a hard border in the region is an aim of all sides in the Brexit talks. The least-worst fix is for Europe to treat Northern Ireland the way it does Norway. That’s only possible if pro-UK politicians in Belfast can be made to see the economic necessity.
Sorry is the hardest word for central bankers 16 Nov 2017 Bank of England Chief Economist Andy Haldane says rate-setters should speak simply and honestly to the public. The first is easier than the second. Admitting past mistakes or doubts about the present is tough for institutions whose clout depends on an aura of omnipotence.
Hadas: Unintended consequences may be new normal 15 Nov 2017 From Brexit to Donald Trump to Saudi Arabia, the world is full of surprises. But those cheering wrenching change may face further upsets. The UK rejoins the EU, the U.S. president discredits small government, and Saudis become poorer. The next shock may be the rise of dullness.
Central bankers go self-referential on rhetoric 14 Nov 2017 Fed Chair Janet Yellen and other top rate-setters took the stage in Frankfurt to discuss how they communicate. It’s a slightly meta admission of the role speechifying has come to play in monetary policy in an era of ultra-low interest rates. But wordiness brings its own perils.
Euro zone boom stimulates reform complacency 14 Nov 2017 From Germany to Italy, growth is picking up in the once-troubled region. Rosy conditions should endure: investment and employment are still catching up after years of crisis. The risk is that politicians avoid tough decisions to prepare the incomplete bloc for the next downturn.
UK economy will share Theresa May’s pain 13 Nov 2017 The Prime Minister is facing growing challenges to her leadership from the ruling party’s pro- and anti-EU factions. Political disarray increases the risks that leaving the European Union will do serious economic harm. A softer Brexit is growing harder to deliver.
ECB haste risks slowing its bad-loan cleanup 10 Nov 2017 The central bank overstepped its authority with proposals to impose stricter rules on banks for non-performing loans, the EU’s parliament says. The ECB is right to target European lenders’ 840 billion euro mountain of bad debt, but its clumsy move may set back the effort.
Banks walk on eggshells in post-MiFID II world 7 Nov 2017 An EU ban on providing free research comes into force on Jan. 3 next year. Instead of bundling the cost together with trading fees, lenders will have to charge separately. Breakingviews imagines how a bank’s compliance department might finesse the issue with clients come Jan. 4.
UniCredit NPL glitch muddies Italian bank cleanup 31 Oct 2017 The ECB is reportedly examining whether the bank inflated the price of a $21 bln bad-loan sale, a move that could hurt its capital. It’s surprising as UniCredit’s valuations were less rosy than peers. Regulatory confusion gives lenders more reason to cling on to dud loans.
Europe’s MiFID ties tardy SEC in knots 26 Oct 2017 The U.S. agency provided breathing space to financial firms facing conflicting rules on charging separately for research. The belated action is only a band-aid. The SEC could learn from the commodity watchdog, which has already been settling permanent deals with EU counterparts.
Banks draw short straw from ECB 26 Oct 2017 The central bank will trim its monthly bond purchases but promised to keep buying for longer. That balances the demands of those who oppose money printing with the wishes of rate-setters who fear growth is still fragile. The losers are banks, whose negative rate pain will endure.