China’s new unemployment measure has big job ahead 18 Apr 2018 In the first regular monthly numbers using surveys, Beijing reported a 5.1 pct jobless rate. It's far better than relying on claims of work-seekers. The question is whether officials will trust the gauge enough to scrap GDP growth targets – and if others trust it in a downturn.
Rail strikes will test French appetite for Europe 9 Apr 2018 President Emmanuel Macron’s plans to overhaul the state-run train company have sparked mass walkouts. He’s not the only one with much to lose. If voters turn against rail reforms, they may also blame EU laws that are forcing the pace of change and grow more critical of Brussels.
Trade and immigration loom over U.S. jobs outlook 6 Apr 2018 Payroll gains in March were disappointing, but the monthly average for the first quarter was a strong 202,000. Corporate tax cuts are supposed to boost economic growth from last year’s 2.3 pct. Saber-rattling on tariffs is a headwind, though – and fewer immigrants could be, too.
Hadas: Monopsony money 5 Apr 2018 In theory, single-buyer markets can squeeze suppliers as much as single-seller monopolies hurt buyers. But enhanced employer power doesn’t always hurt workers, and labour monopsonies are only one of many reasons for slow U.S. pay gains. Oligopolies should be a bigger worry.
Blowout U.S. jobs set Fed hunting for wage growth 9 Mar 2018 The U.S. economy added more than 300,000 jobs in February, smashing economists’ expectations, even as wage growth fell back to a ho-hum 2.6 pct. It's likely to keep the Fed searching for the elusive Phillips curve and why a tight labor market means only tepid pay rises.
Viewsroom: Trump slaps tariff fear on markets 8 Mar 2018 Imposing levies on steel and aluminum has lost the president his economic adviser, ex-Goldman No. 2 Gary Cohn. That has shocked investors out of complacency. Also: Italy’s elections leave fringe parties in charge. And big deals may be back on the agenda for the mining industry.
Whistleblowers lose a shield, but so do employers 22 Feb 2018 Those who suspect U.S. securities breaches must tell regulators or lose some protection from vengeful employers, the Supreme Court says. Major misconduct should still get reported. But small stuff might fall through the cracks – depriving companies of a chance to tackle it early.
Bad things may come in threes for stock investors 2 Feb 2018 U.S. wage growth and 10-year Treasury yields are both nearing 3 percent. The former may hasten rate rises and erode companies’ profits. The latter will boost borrowing costs and make it less attractive to hold stocks. That could spook an equity market priced for near perfection.
U.S. factories add jobs but could use more robots 2 Feb 2018 The economy added 200,000 jobs last month, including 15,000 in manufacturing. Donald Trump often talks of boosting the now smallish sector, but productivity has been near-stagnant and wage growth is weak. For all the fears of machines taking jobs, having more of them would help.
City’s #MeToo moment is tipping point and catalyst 25 Jan 2018 The charity behind a men-only London dinner where female hostesses were groped has closed down. The scale of justified public censure means such events have no future. But the furore may also give new impetus to appoint more women to boards and redress gender pay inequality.
Insurance M&A benefits from thin U.S. safety net 19 Jan 2018 Lincoln National is paying $1.4 bln for Liberty Mutual’s employer-based insurance business. It gives the buyer added heft in a growing field as more Americans top up life, health and disability coverage through the workplace. Cost cuts give this deal an added bit of assurance.
Amazon HQ2 choices disappointingly undisruptive 18 Jan 2018 The e-commerce giant has cut the field for its second headquarters to 20 prime locations including Dallas, Atlanta and New York. Hundreds of cities hoped Amazon would think outside the box, but a desire for talent and a welcoming environment led it to the usual hot spots.
Tight U.S. labor market may finally move Fed 5 Jan 2018 December’s relatively weak jobs and wage growth gives policymakers a breather. But with 2.1 mln positions created in 2017 and unemployment historically low, long-awaited pay increases - along with new tax cuts - could soon start stoking inflation. That would force the Fed’s hand.
Tax cuts crystallize haves, wants, can’ts, won’ts 21 Dec 2017 AT&T, Comcast, Boeing and Wells Fargo are among companies sharing the wealth from lower levies with workers. Most have reason to curry favor with the White House. So such deals may be less than they seem – while others will struggle to hold on to any benefits at all.
The Exchange: Newark Mayor Ras Baraka 20 Dec 2017 Will Amazon choose New Jersey's largest city as the location for its second headquarters? That's what hometown native Baraka is hoping - and he's lobbying hard to make it happen, even trying to cajole neighboring New York City to play a role in swaying the e-commerce juggernaut's decision.
Ryanair investors faintly see higher-cost future 18 Dec 2017 They have knocked over 2 bln euros off the budget airline’s market value since it caved in and recognised unions on Friday, averting a Christmas strike. That’s more than the extra staff outlays may be worth. If easyJet is a guide, though, Ryanair’s expenses will rise further.
Bank of England transfer defies financial gravity 11 Dec 2017 Britain’s opposition Labour party says it may move parts of the central bank to Birmingham. That may appeal to voters, but both the BBC and HSBC have found relocating expensive and difficult. The idea also ignores the reasons London’s financial centre exerts such a strong pull.
Shareholder ethos holds back U.S. wage growth 8 Dec 2017 The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in November but wage growth remained tepid. President Trump claims the GOP tax bill will lead to big raises but most companies plan to spend profit on buybacks and dividends. When the market is king, workers tend to come last.
Fossil-fuel slowdown spreads pain at GE and beyond 7 Dec 2017 The conglomerate is laying off 12,000 people in a power division that lights up 30 percent of the world. It blamed overcapacity amid a shift from coal and gas to renewables. Other divisions closely tied to fossil fuels are also ailing. GE’s woes suggest a wider shakeout ahead.
Hadas: The mystery of lost competition 6 Dec 2017 The U.S. tax cut is expected to boost corporate earnings but not lower prices or raise wages. That implies there’s too much tacit collusion for basic economic theory to work as designed. Limited price competition is great for shareholder value, but bad for the economy.