Deutsche CEO quest will be hard work 27 Mar 2018 The German lender has begun looking for a new boss. Replacing John Cryan may prove difficult until the company figures out whether to be a global investment bank or return to its more modest corporate lending roots. Nor are there obvious fixes for an ailing business model.
Drug companies take the anti-Amazon pill 27 Mar 2018 Novartis is selling its consumer health assets to GSK for $13 bln. It makes sense for the former to focus on traditional drugs given the threat from e-commerce. For the latter, the purchase is less risky than a Pfizer deal and may still allow investment in its core business.
Carlyle’s $12.6 bln Akzo deal has good chemistry 27 Mar 2018 The U.S. private equity group is buying a speciality chemical unit that the Dutch company put on the block after a failed PPG bid. Carlyle knows the industry and has slashed costs at Axalta. While there may be less scope for huge cuts this time, decent returns are still on offer.
Cancelled Swiss IPO is a bearable blow for HNA 27 Mar 2018 The embattled Chinese conglomerate wanted to raise up to $1.4 billion from Gategroup, but pulled the deal over pricing. Listing is harder than selling property or existing shares, but by holding firm on price, HNA avoids looking desperate. That could help with other disposals.
Mukesh Ambani’s music deal could get a remix 27 Mar 2018 India's richest man is merging two music-streaming services into a $1 bln group. That will help attract users to the telecoms arm of his Reliance Industries. With the conglomerate poised to start throwing off cash again, Ambani could take his content ambitions to another level.
China’s Gen Z app has a lot of growing up to do 27 Mar 2018 Bilibili, a popular video site for anime-obsessed teens, wants to list at a $3 bln-plus valuation. That’s hefty considering a single mobile game accounts for 60 pct of sales. Losses may be narrowing, but Bilibili's amateur business plan doesn't warrant a premium price tag.
Travelport must hope Elliott inspires others 26 Mar 2018 Paul Singer's hedge fund has put the travel-tech company in play by taking a 12 pct stake, and may even make a bid. The risk is Elliott could bully the company into a bad deal, but the potential to boost margins makes it a ripe target. Shareholders should welcome wider interest.
Meirelles’ sanity will be a hard sell in Brazil 26 Mar 2018 The man running Latin America's biggest economy is resigning and wants to be president. His competence and pro-market stance are a welcome addition to a wide-open field ahead of October’s election. But voter disgust for establishment figures could mean rejection for his approach.
Spotify’s growth outlook makes a morose playlist 26 Mar 2018 The streaming-music service expects revenue to increase at most 30 pct this year, a slowdown. And although it’s adding subscribers, Spotify is collecting less money from each of them. That makes future price hikes riskier. The trends are worrisome ahead of its public listing.
Market jitters accentuate M&A regulatory risk 26 Mar 2018 Dealmaking sprees are prone to extinction events. Market panics erode the value of buyers’ stock, make bankers reluctant to lend, and change the outlook violently. Recent tumult doesn’t yet qualify, but it makes it harder to overlook deals that push the regulatory limits.
Ego is Italy’s main barrier to radical government 26 Mar 2018 The rightist League sided with the 5-Star Movement to elect parliament’s speakers. It’s a sign the two forces, which want to unpick reforms and spend more, can collaborate. A coalition of mavericks would strain euro zone relations. But agreeing on a prime minister will be tough.
Dana keeps GKN defence hopes alive 26 Mar 2018 The U.S. car parts maker raised its cash and shares offer for GKN’s auto unit by $140 million to thwart Melrose’s bid for the whole UK engineering group. The extra cash only compensates for recent falls in Dana’s share price. But given how tight the race is, any increase helps.
Smurfit Kappa is boxed in by sweetened bid 26 Mar 2018 The Irish packaging group rejected International Paper’s improved 8.9 bln euro approach. A heftier cash component is largely offset by the U.S. bidder’s falling share price. That makes the offer easier to snub but adds to pressure on Smurfit to cut costs and roll out automation.
Japan steels itself for worse on trade 26 Mar 2018 U.S. metals tariffs won’t hurt Tokyo much. But trade tensions can cause indirect harm too, since Japan is a big supplier to China, and market jitters unhelpfully boost the yen. President Trump’s scorn for a close ally hints at pressure to come over cars, agriculture and currency.
Uber races towards IPO with Southeast Asian deal 26 Mar 2018 The U.S. ride-hailing giant is exiting another cut-throat market. It will hand its regional business to Grab, a $6 bln local rival, and take 27.5 pct of the enlarged group. This is a sensible step to prepare Uber for public life – provided Grab can hold onto its leading position.
China sows confusion with two central bank bosses 26 Mar 2018 The head of the banking and insurance regulator may also become party chief at the People’s Bank of China. Guo Shuqing would outrank new Governor Yi Gang, making for an awkward combination. Guo might be the more effective reformer, but his brash style could unsettle markets.
The Exchange: CDP’s water boss 23 Mar 2018 Cate Lamb works with shareholders managing some $90 trln of assets to push companies to address water-scarcity and flood risks. She explains what can be done to mitigate the problem – and how doing too little costs businesses billions and can sink economic growth.
Dropbox stores good news for tech IPOs 23 Mar 2018 The online-storage firm’s shares rocketed about 50 pct in its first few hours as a public company. The rousing welcome for a $12 bln tech firm aimed at consumers is heartening for Spotify. And it could accelerate IPO plans for firms like Airbnb and Lyft.
China bond-index debut a timely counter to tariffs 23 Mar 2018 Bloomberg will include the country’s government and policy-bank debt in a key global index. That should attract foreign investors and encourage more liberalization. It’s also a reminder amid rising trade tensions that flows of money far outweigh those of goods and services.
Guest View: Why the government will lose to AT&T 23 Mar 2018 The U.S. Department of Justice is tuning in to old channels in its case against the telephone company's Time Warner deal, argues a former Federal Communications Commission chief economist. The Trump administration has crocheted a quilt lacking awareness of historical pattern.
Review: Pluralist economics is a work in progress 23 Mar 2018 “Econocracy”, a book by rebel Manchester undergraduates, gives mainstream economics a well-deserved thrashing. They could have been even tougher. But where are the alternatives? Too much of the companion volume, “Rethinking Economics”, seems underdeveloped, not to say flaky.
Deutsche fund IPO flaunts sickly bank 23 Mar 2018 The German bank’s IPO of asset management arm DWS has failed to create value. The rump bank and listed manager are worth at least 3 bln euros less than Deutsche was before the spinoff. The loss shows the limits of corporate rejigging, and upheaval still facing CEO John Cryan.
Facebook crisis could bust digital-ad duopoly 23 Mar 2018 Advertisers may pull money from the social network, which together with Google sucked up 84 pct of digital ad spending in 2017. That cash is likely to stay with data-rich platforms rather than older media. Amazon could benefit if CEO Jeff Bezos can avoid raising antitrust fears.
GKN owners should stick with the devil they know 23 Mar 2018 The UK engineer’s shareholders must choose whether to accept Melrose Industries’ $11 bln hostile cash-and-share bid. The buyer has a record for turnarounds, while GKN has missed targets. But Melrose’s plans are vague and riskier. GKN deserves the benefit of the doubt.
Elliott forced to play long game at Telecom Italia 23 Mar 2018 The sudden resignation of eight Vivendi-backed directors triggers a full board reshuffle at the Italian telecom. The move makes it harder for Elliott to install its preferred candidates. But the activist could still get some of what it wants by aligning with Italian funds.
Aviva fumble leaves no room to miss targets 23 Mar 2018 Chief Executive Mark Wilson has been forced to scrap a plan to cancel 450 million pounds of preference shares after a row with institutional and retail investors. He can start winning back their trust by doing more to boost the insurer’s sales and by reducing debt.
Steve Wynn’s casinos make best of bad hand 23 Mar 2018 After resigning as CEO of Wynn Resorts amid scandal, he has found buyers for his entire stake. New boss Matthew Maddox is playing terrible cards fast and well. He settled a big lawsuit and just brought in Macau rival Galaxy as a backer, which could lead to fresh opportunities.
Tiny loans price big future for newbie India bank 23 Mar 2018 An IPO will give Bandhan a market cap of $7 bln, or almost five times book value. That sounds punchy for a microfinance lender that only became a bank three years ago. But those rich figures can be justified by low costs and pricey loans, which together produce fat returns.
Duke Energy draws power from climate activism 22 Mar 2018 America’s largest electricity generator plans to phase out coal and slash carbon emissions. Gas and renewables make business sense regardless of the Trump administration’s policy-reversal efforts, it claims. Duke’s stance and transparency put Exxon’s climate disclosures to shame.
Investors can get a natural kick out of water 22 Mar 2018 Huge, costly and time-consuming infrastructure projects dominate plans for solving the world’s H2O issues. But nature-based solutions such as restoring forests and soil can yield quicker results for decent returns. They also come with sustainable-investing bragging rights.