Macron may change France in unintended ways 7 May 2017 Luck as much as talent has propelled Emmanuel Macron to the presidency. He will need both if he wants to achieve more than seeing off the far-right Marine Le Pen. The ex-banker will at best deliver piecemeal reforms. At worst, he risks undermining the Fifth Republic.
Akzo board has painted itself into a corner 8 May 2017 The Dutch paint maker’s categorical rejection of rival PPG’s 24.6 bln euro bid creates two glaring problems for boss Ton Buechner. His self-imposed targets are fanciful, and many shareholders doubt his judgement on the deal. Should PPG go hostile, two battles will become three.
Britain’s Brexit bill is worth the money 8 May 2017 An orderly departure from the EU may cost the UK as much as 100 billion euros. A chaotic exit that permanently lowered the growth rate of its 1.9 trillion pound economy would be much more expensive. Better to hand over a hefty sum if it means avoiding that outcome.
Cost cuts won’t save Pearson or its CEO 5 May 2017 The UK education publisher is planning 300 mln pounds of savings by 2020, with the troubled North America business taking some of the pain. Markets aren’t giving embattled boss John Fallon much credit for the plans, and falling revenue could cancel out the gain to shareholders.
Greek bonds are the last of the ECB free rides 5 May 2017 Athens has pledged to cut pensions and raise taxes, and could soon be eligible for European Central Bank bond purchases. That would push up prices just as other euro zone bonds start going the other way. Europe could drag its heels, but the likelihood of a messy default is low.
Death of diesel will contaminate German carmakers 5 May 2017 Sales of new diesel cars are falling sharply in Europe, as talk of selective driving bans in polluted cities is unsettling drivers. Market pressure may force carmakers to phase out diesel much quicker than planned, with negative effects on VW, BMW and Daimler.
M&S opts for safety over real shakeup 5 May 2017 The UK high street stalwart named Archie Norman as its chairman, days after finding a new boss for its clothing unit. His retail nous will bolster M&S’ turnaround plans. Yet the hire is the latest in a series of safe choices that underestimate the changes sweeping retail.
VW-Fiat Chrysler merger too tempting by half 4 May 2017 Welding together the German and the Italian-U.S. carmakers might unleash cost savings of more than $38 bln. As the auto industry gets more challenging, and Fiat Chrysler boss Sergio Marchionne more eager to sell, that prize may trump memories of previous car deals gone wrong.
London could trip on Aramco’s IPO red carpet 4 May 2017 The city’s stock exchange is considering a new kind of governance-lite listing to attract the Saudi oil producer. Innovation is okay, if new rules are clear and existing ones aren’t watered down. Too naked a desire to please the powerful, though, would hurt London’s reputation.
HSBC’s extra capital can help keep investors loyal 4 May 2017 Europe's largest bank by assets posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Growing revenue remains a challenge. But rising capital ratios make HSBC's generous dividends look more sustainable, and could point to more buybacks ahead. That should keep shareholders onside.
French banks’ foreign strength cuts both ways 4 May 2017 Strong first-quarter growth in BNP Paribas and SocGen’s foreign markets offset weaker showings at home. Still, SocGen’s 963 mln euro Libyan settlement shows how overseas adventures can go awry. And if Sunday’s election delivers a surprise, French banks face redenomination risk.
Time for Siemens investors to forget troubled past 4 May 2017 For decades, the German engineering group’s poor margins and talent for botching large-scale projects justified a persistent discount to peers. Quarterly results confirm turnaround CEO Joe Kaeser has fixed both issues. If shareholders agree, Siemens could be worth 9 pct more.
Shell nears midway point in turnaround 4 May 2017 Recovering prices boosted the Anglo-Dutch group’s first-quarter earnings. Judging by the downstream performance of Shell’s chemicals unit and improved efficiency, its diversification is paying off. The second half of the challenge is to convince markets to look beyond crude.
Make Britain’s Brexit bill performance-related 3 May 2017 The EU may demand 100 bln euros from the UK for leaving the bloc. Some Britons want to pay nothing. Investment bankers ease impasses between companies by making part of the cost contingent on future performance. Linking the bill to UK GDP might enable both sides to claim victory.
Hadas: Basic income is basically confused 3 May 2017 As new technology threatens job security, the dream of giving all citizens a simple payment is making a comeback. But the idea is too expensive to be practical. It also ignores the biggest drawback of modern welfare states: that lives are complicated and people are not angels.
French savers are a good bulwark against Le Pen 3 May 2017 Marine Le Pen’s anti-euro rhetoric will be a liability in Sunday’s election. Some undecided voters may share the far-right leader’s distrust of the EU. But ditching the single currency would be punitive for a country with the euro zone’s third-highest savings rate.
Sainsbury over-seasons a stale retail recipe 3 May 2017 The supermarket’s full year like-for-like sales fell 0.6 percent, despite help from recently acquired Argos. Rival Tesco is diversifying too through its purchase of wholesaler Booker. Greater complexity masks problems caused by a long price war, but doesn’t fix them.
ITV boss picks prime time to duck out 3 May 2017 Adam Crozier is leaving the UK’s largest free-to-air TV firm after seven years as CEO. His strategy of building up ITV’s production arm has been vindicated, but the vulnerability of ad revenue and the rise of digital giants like Netflix and Amazon will vex his successor.
Coach’s luxury shopping habit risks distraction 2 May 2017 The high-priced handbag maker’s good third quarter is a bright spot amid struggling retailers. It doesn’t justify buying Jimmy Choo or Kate Spade, however. CEO Victor Luis vows no poor deals, but most are likely to be a tougher fit than his 2015 acquisition, Stuart Weitzman.
Barclays chief learns silence is golden 2 May 2017 Jes Staley vouched for his brother-in-law in a spat with buyout group KKR, a client of the bank. Helping out friends is a good quality in a human being, and a boss. A CEO’s job, though, is to keep a clear line between life and work. Investors have reason to expect it.