Once-bitten merger arbitrageurs are twice Shire 27 Apr 2018 The $62 bln Takeda bid should in theory be an attractive hedge-fund plaything. A yawning gap between the offer value and the target's share price suggests otherwise. Multiple currencies and time zones act as deterrents. So too do the scars from Shire's deal with AbbVie.
Sky upside depends on Disney-Fox irrationality 25 Apr 2018 Brian Roberts’ Comcast formalised a $31 bln bid for the UK group. Rival suitors Bob Iger and Rupert Murdoch, of Disney and Fox, will struggle to match the U.S. cable giant’s synergies. Sky investors betting on a counteroffer must hope the media moguls ditch financial logic.
Poker group bets $5 bln on Sky-high sports growth 23 Apr 2018 Canada’s Stars Group is buying UK online sports-gambling specialist Sky Bet. The price is more than current owners CVC and Sky would have got in a mooted IPO. For Stars, the debt-heavy punt only works if Sky Bet’s rapid growth continues - or the U.S. relaxes sports-gambling laws.
Shire makes needy suitors work for risky bet 19 Apr 2018 The London-listed pharma group has rejected a 42 bln pound offer from Osaka-based Takeda, and may now face a bid from Botox-maker Allergan. Shire’s business has its challenges, but its would-be acquirers have strategic issues and need a deal. The risk of overpaying is going up.
Qatar/Exxon love-in makes two types of sense 12 Apr 2018 Deepening its relationship with the Texas-based oil major would tie the Arab state more closely to the U.S. after recent tensions with Saudi Arabia. It also gets Exxon investing in infrastructure. That could open up the global market, to the benefit of both parties.
Tenneco and Icahn pull a mini DowDuPont 10 Apr 2018 The U.S. auto-parts maker is paying $5.4 bln including debt for Federal-Mogul, owned by the investor’s listed entity. The plan is to break the merged company into two, boosting the overall value. Shareholders shoulder risk when deals have several steps. But the logic holds up.
Travelport must hope Elliott inspires others 26 Mar 2018 Paul Singer's hedge fund has put the travel-tech company in play by taking a 12 pct stake, and may even make a bid. The risk is Elliott could bully the company into a bad deal, but the potential to boost margins makes it a ripe target. Shareholders should welcome wider interest.
Blackstone’s Schwarzman schools CIC on art of deal 14 Mar 2018 China’s sovereign wealth fund has sold its stake in the private equity firm. CIC only bagged a so-so return from its decade-long investment. For Blackstone’s founder and CEO, meanwhile, the partnership opened some lucrative doors to the world’s second-largest economy.
ArcelorMittal’s India homecoming may be scrappy 14 Mar 2018 The world’s largest steelmaker is back on the acquisition trail with a $6 bln bid for bankrupt Essar. It paves the way for the family to go back to its roots. The Mittals would face an inhospitable environment, but it's probably manageable for a company spawned by a hostile deal.
Beijing’s Heineken pint will be tough to craft 9 Mar 2018 Chinese giant CR Beer is in talks to buy the local assets of its Dutch rival for over $1 bln. Premium international brews are attractive in a stagnating market. But fixing the deal terms will be tricky: global players are fiercely protective of their brands.
Cigna pays over the odds for uncertain benefit 8 Mar 2018 The insurer is paying $54 bln for pharmacy middleman Express Scripts in the latest healthcare consolidation move. Express’s business has stalled and the FDA’s campaign for drug-price transparency threatens its model. Cigna’s $13 bln premium is not a sure prescription for growth.
Chinese bidders find new way to collar their prey 8 Mar 2018 Geely’s boss used an “equity collar” to amass a $9 bln stake in automaker Daimler fast, and without much hard currency. HNA has done something similar at Deutsche Bank and Swiss travel retailer Dufry. Other Chinese firms could use derivatives to make their money go further.
HNA is enjoying a pleasant stay at Hilton 7 Mar 2018 The cash-strapped Chinese group bet $6.5 bln on the U.S. hotelier, using lots of borrowed money. It has now sold stock in the spun-off Park Hotels for $1.4 bln, while retaining another $7.6 bln stake. HNA has been a crazily prolific investor, but this trip was worth it.
Miners face a multibillion-dollar growth debate 28 Feb 2018 The big diggers have emerged from 2017 in rude health: BHP, Rio and Glencore's combined net debt is down to a third of where they ended 2013. The challenge is how to go beyond better payouts. Geology and high prices mean the next phase of growth may be unorthodox.
Alibaba delivery deal could be tasty side dish 27 Feb 2018 The $500 bln e-commerce outfit may buy the rest of Chinese startup Ele.me, which gets meals from restaurants to homes. Simply battling rival Meituan Dianping would be costly. If it can enhance Alibaba's payments, groceries and parcels businesses, though, it makes much more sense.
Geely wheels Mercedes into its chop shop 26 Feb 2018 The Chinese carmaker's founder has bought a 10 pct stake in Daimler, parking it next to Volvo, Lotus, London cabs and Swedish trucks. It's another strange turn in Geely's route to global growth. This new $9 bln part will be hard to fuse onto what has otherwise been a sweet ride.
Anbang is big test of China’s non-market market 23 Feb 2018 The state seizure of the insurer looks designed to leave markets unruffled. It will probably work, since capitalist forces in China are still on a tight rein. The real impact will be subtle, as investors and foreign regulators weigh up this new hands-on approach.
General Dynamics pays paranoia premium for CSRA 12 Feb 2018 The U.S. defense group is spending some $6.8 bln for cyber specialist CSRA. The synergies don’t quite cover the premium, and returns look underwhelming. The deal hangs on a big boost in U.S. government spending, and the idea that these companies benefit from a more fearful world.
Comcast hints at tense second season for Fox bids 12 Feb 2018 The cable firm could try to thwart media giant Disney’s $52.4 bln purchase of parts of Rupert Murdoch’s empire. Antitrust and family politics would hinder a reprise of Comcast’s $60 bln offer for now, but Disney may yet have to raise its game.
Google offers Aramco unlikely route to IPO heaven 1 Feb 2018 The Saudi oil producer is in talks with the search engine’s owner to create a tech hub in the kingdom, says the WSJ. There could be a secondary benefit. If investors valued Aramco the way they do Alphabet, the $2 trln valuation Riyadh wants from a future IPO would be a shoo-in.